24-Team: All Champions
Rob’s way: every conference champion gets a bid, 14 at-large teams, and no protection for Notre Dame.
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24-team bracket: All Champions
All Champions: every one of the ten FBS conference champions gets an automatic bid, and 14 at-large teams fill the field by ranking. Notre Dame gets no special treatment. Each conference champion is the team that won that conference most often in the simulations. Seeds follow the projected ranking; seeds 1–8 get byes and first-round games are on the higher seed’s campus. In each game the team the model favors advances, with its chance of winning shown.
The field
How each team got in, its projected final ranking, and how often it made this field and earned a bye across all simulated seasons. Click a team for its full odds.
On the bubble
Teams outside the projected field with the best chance to make it, from every simulated season.